Black Widow
6* Widow Wiseguy AFC North GAME OF THE YEAR on Cincinnati Bengals +9
Once again, the Bengals aren't getting any respect from the odds makers. Perhaps when they upset the Baltimore Ravens Sunday, they will start taking notice. Cincinnati should be 4-0 this season if it wasn't for a miracle by Denver in Week 1. Baltimore is a very good team, but they aren't 9 points better than the Bengals Sunday. Ravens' players were making all kinds of excuses after their 27-21 loss to the Patriots last week, and it just goes to show the character of some of their players. The Bengals have a complete team this season, which is what it takes to win in this league consistently. Their defense is giving up just 19.0 points/game. Offensively they have balance, rushing for 123 yards/game and passing for 196 yards/game. So far, the Bengals have not gotten the respect they deserve and players know it. They realize this is their chance to put their names back on the map as one of the top teams in the league, a claim they had a few years ago before Carson Palmer went down with a knee injury. But he's back and better than ever, improving with each game. Ochocinco has worked his way back to becoming one of the game's top receivers, catching two touchdown passes last week. The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bengals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5. The Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 5. Take Cincinnati and the points.
5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Texans/Cardinals OVER 48(+100at 5dimes)
This is easily the best Total for your money Sunday. Yes, it's a lot of points, but not for Houston and Arizona. The Texans are scoring 34.0 points/game on the road and giving up 31.0 points/game on the road this year. Arizona is giving up 25.5 points/game at home. After a bye week, look for the Cardinals to get going offensively with a little extra practice time for Warner and his receivers to gel. Houston is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in dome games since 1992. The Texans are 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. These are two great offenses and two of the worst defenses in the league on display Sunday, making a high-scoring shootout inevitable. Take the OVER 48 points here.
4* Pats/Broncos AFC "Side" Surefire on New England -3(+105 bodog)
The Denver Broncos are the most overrated team in the league right now because of their 4-0 start. But the Patriots will put an end to the madness by going into Denver and coming out with a win. The Patriots are, by far, the more superior team here and it will show on the scoreboard. The Broncos have been great defensively, but they haven't played an offense like the Patriots. They have played the Browns, Raiders, Bengals who were rusty in Week 1, and the Cowboys who are clearly lacking offensive explosiveness without any proven wide receivers. The Patriots have Tom Brady, Wes Welker and Randy Moss. They cannot contain these three in four quarters. Not to mention the Patriots' defense is playing great this year. The Pats are giving up just 17.7 points/game this season and 287 yards/game and that's impressive considering they've played the likes of the Falcons, Ravens, Jets and Bills, a much tougher schedule than Denver has faced. New England boasts a 25-5 SU & 21-7 ATS record as road chalk of less than a TD in the Belichick era. Take the Patriots and lay the points. (Recommend buying 1/2 point down to -3 after locking this line in early in the week)
4* Falcons/49ers NFC "Side" Surefire on San Francisco -2(-110 at bodog)
The 49ers are 2 seconds away from being 4-0 this season. They have one of the best defenses in the game, and it gives San Francisco a chance to win every contest. Atlanta is 2-1 this season, but in their only road game they looked terrible. The Falcons lost 10-26 at New England in their lone road contest, putting up just 257 yards of total offense in the loss. The Patriots put up 277 passing yards alone, and 168 more rushing to boot. This San Francisco defense is allowing just 13.2 points/game and 284 yards/game, coming off a shutout 35-0 win over the Rams last week behind 3 defensive touchdowns. The 49ers are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The 49ers are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. The 49ers have won 7 of their last 9 regular season games since Mike Singletary took over. Take San Francisco and lay the points